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21 lis 2026-00:00
dni
godziny
minuty
sekundy
Stats Prediction
Result probability
9%
87%
Noteć Gębice 4%
Draw 9%
Pogoń Mogilno 87%
0,5 – 3,2
goals per side
Bramki oczekiwane
0-3
13% chance
Most Likely Score
72%
model
Ponad 2,5 bramki
40%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Noteć Gębice · at home
Pogoń Mogilno · away
1,43
Goals scored per game
2,29
2,43
Goals conceded per game
0,86
0,64x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1,30x
1,38x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0,38x
Average: 2,24 home goals and 1,75 away goals per game in IV Liga Kujawsko-Pomorska
Based on 14 + 14 IV Liga Kujawsko-Pomorska games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
vs Rawys Raciąż (A) 4-1 · 31 paź 2026
Zmiany
Last game lineup
vs Unia Wąbrzeźno (H) 4-1 · 31 paź 2026
Zmiany
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
W
L
L
L
L
W
L
L
L
L
W
L
D
D
0,71
2-4-8
PPG Overall
0,71
1-2-4
PPG at Home
0,71
1-2-4
PPG Away
W
D
L
W
D
W
D
L
W
D
W
W
W
D
W
2,14
9-3-2
PPG Overall
2,00
4-2-1
PPG at Home
2,29
5-1-1
PPG Away
Venue form: Pogoń Mogilno away +223% on points per game vs Noteć Gębice at home (2,29 vs 0,71)
Rest & Schedule
21
days rest
Rawys Raciąż 4-1 Noteć Gębice
0 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
21
days rest
Pogoń Mogilno 4-1 Unia Wąbrzeźno
0 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Dom
Wyjazd
Mecze
14
7
7
Zwyc %
14%
14%
14%
Goals per game
4,36
3,86
4,86
Strzelił
1,43
1,43
1,43
Stracone
2,93
2,43
3,43
Obie drużyny zdobyły punkty
71%
71%
71%
Czyste konto
14%
14%
14%
Bez punktów
21%
29%
14%
Overall
Dom
Wyjazd
Mecze
14
7
7
Zwyc %
64%
57%
71%
Goals per game
3,93
4,71
3,14
Strzelił
2,71
3,14
2,29
Stracone
1,21
1,57
0,86
Obie drużyny zdobyły punkty
71%
71%
71%
Czyste konto
21%
29%
14%
Bez punktów
14%
0%
29%
IV Liga Kujawsko-Pomorska · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Noteć Gębice
NOT
Pogoń Mogilno
POG
Average
Avg
League
Ponad 0,5
93% 13/14
93% 13/14
93%
–
Ponad 1,5
86% 12/14
86% 12/14
86%
88%
Ponad 2,5
86% 12/14
86% 12/14
86%
74%
Ponad 3,5
71% 10/14
64% 9/14
68%
59%
Ponad 4,5
50% 7/14
36% 5/14
43%
–
Under 2,5
14% 2/14
14% 2/14
14%
26%
Both teams score
BTTS
71% 10/14
71% 10/14
71%
62%
BTTS & win
7% 1/14
50% 7/14
29%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
71% 10/14
71% 10/14
71%
–
Noteć Gębice
NOT
Pogoń Mogilno
POG
Average
Avg
League
Ponad 0,5
86% 12/14
86% 12/14
86%
–
Ponad 1,5
64% 9/14
64% 9/14
64%
–
Ponad 2,5
29% 4/14
14% 2/14
21%
–
BTTS
50% 7/14
36% 5/14
43%
–
% of each club's games · League = IV Liga Kujawsko-Pomorska (126 games, 3,99 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1,43 at home
2,29 away
Noteć Gębice scored 10 in 7 home games
Pogoń Mogilno scored 16 in 7 away games
Noteć Gębice
NOT
Pogoń Mogilno
POG
Scored over 0,5
79% 11/14
86% 12/14
Scored over 1,5
43% 6/14
86% 12/14
Scored over 2,5
21% 3/14
57% 8/14
Bez punktów
21% 3/14
14% 2/14
Goals conceded per game at this venue
2,43 at home
0,86 away
Noteć Gębice conceded 17 in 7 home games
Pogoń Mogilno conceded 6 in 7 away games
Noteć Gębice
NOT
Pogoń Mogilno
POG
Conceded over 0,5
86% 12/14
79% 11/14
Conceded over 1,5
79% 11/14
21% 3/14
Conceded over 2,5
64% 9/14
14% 2/14
Czyste konto
14% 2/14
21% 3/14
Streaks
1
Porażki last game
6
Stracone in a row
6
Over 2.5 goals in a row
2
Strzelił in a row
2
Obie drużyny zdobyły punkty in a row
2
Unbeaten last loss 3 games ago
3
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Noteć Gębice
NOT
Pogoń Mogilno
POG
League
Kartki
Kartki
3,64
2,21
–
Opponent cards
2,21
2,07
–
Match total
5,86
4,29
4,63
Ponad 3,5
93% 13/14
57% 8/14
–
Ponad 4,5
71% 10/14
50% 7/14
–
Not shown: Rzuty rożne, Strzały, Shots on target, Faule, Spalone, Possession - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = IV Liga Kujawsko-Pomorska (126 games) · IV Liga Kujawsko-Pomorska · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Noteć Gębice
Strzelił · 20
15%
20%
25%
15%
10%
15%
Stracone · 41
10%
20%
7%
17%
27%
19%
Pogoń Mogilno
Strzelił · 38
11%
13%
24%
18%
13%
21%
Stracone · 17
0%
23%
12%
6%
12%
47%
46%
Scored first
62%
15%
Goals after 75'
21%
Scored first: Noteć Gębice 6 of 13, Pogoń Mogilno 8 of 13 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · IV Liga Kujawsko-Pomorska · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
29%43%29%
Leading 4
Level 6
Trailing 4
1,29
points per game
At half-time
0%
0 z 4
Led at HT, won
25%
1 z 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 122nd 8
At half-time
50%43%7%
Leading 7
Level 6
Trailing 1
1,93
points per game
At half-time
86%
6 z 7
Led at HT, won
0%
0 z 1
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 182nd 20
4
Points won from losing positions in 10 · 6 games
10
15
Points dropped from winning positions in 8 · 11 games
4
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · IV Liga Kujawsko-Pomorska · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
Latest Games