|
7 lis 2026-11:00
dni
godziny
minuty
sekundy
Stats Prediction
Result probability
27%
23%
50%
Mustang Ostaszewo 27%
Draw 23%
Tłuchowia Tłuchowo 50%
1,3 – 1,9
goals per side
Bramki oczekiwane
1-1
10% chance
Most Likely Score
61%
model
Ponad 2,5 bramki
61%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Mustang Ostaszewo · at home
Tłuchowia Tłuchowo · away
2,17
Goals scored per game
2,17
1,50
Goals conceded per game
1,33
0,97x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1,24x
0,86x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0,60x
Average: 2,24 home goals and 1,75 away goals per game in IV Liga Kujawsko-Pomorska
Based on 14 + 14 IV Liga Kujawsko-Pomorska games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
vs Wisła Dobrzyń nad Wisłą (A) 4-1 · 31 paź 2026
Zmiany
Last game lineup
vs Kujawiak Kowal (H) 1-1 · 31 paź 2026
Zmiany
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
L
W
L
D
L
L
W
L
D
W
W
L
D
W
1,50
6-3-5
PPG Overall
1,33
2-2-2
PPG at Home
1,63
4-1-3
PPG Away
D
D
W
W
W
D
D
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
L
2,29
10-2-2
PPG Overall
2,38
6-1-1
PPG at Home
2,17
4-1-1
PPG Away
Venue form: Tłuchowia Tłuchowo away +63% on points per game vs Mustang Ostaszewo at home (2,17 vs 1,33)
Rest & Schedule
7
days rest
Wisła Dobrzyń nad Wisłą 4-1 Mustang Ostaszewo
2 games in 14 days · 4 in 30 days
7
days rest
Tłuchowia Tłuchowo 1-1 Kujawiak Kowal
2 games in 14 days · 5 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Dom
Wyjazd
Mecze
14
6
8
Zwyc %
43%
33%
50%
Goals per game
3,64
3,67
3,63
Strzelił
2,00
2,17
1,88
Stracone
1,64
1,50
1,75
Obie drużyny zdobyły punkty
64%
50%
75%
Czyste konto
21%
33%
13%
Bez punktów
14%
17%
13%
Overall
Dom
Wyjazd
Mecze
14
8
6
Zwyc %
71%
75%
67%
Goals per game
4,21
4,75
3,50
Strzelił
3,00
3,63
2,17
Stracone
1,21
1,13
1,33
Obie drużyny zdobyły punkty
71%
75%
67%
Czyste konto
29%
25%
33%
Bez punktów
0%
0%
0%
IV Liga Kujawsko-Pomorska · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Mustang Ostaszewo
MUS
Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
TŁU
Average
Avg
League
Ponad 0,5
100% 14/14
100% 14/14
100%
–
Ponad 1,5
79% 11/14
93% 13/14
86%
88%
Ponad 2,5
79% 11/14
71% 10/14
75%
74%
Ponad 3,5
57% 8/14
50% 7/14
54%
59%
Ponad 4,5
29% 4/14
43% 6/14
36%
–
Under 2,5
21% 3/14
29% 4/14
25%
26%
Both teams score
BTTS
64% 9/14
71% 10/14
68%
62%
BTTS & win
21% 3/14
43% 6/14
32%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
64% 9/14
57% 8/14
61%
–
Mustang Ostaszewo
MUS
Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
TŁU
Average
Avg
League
Ponad 0,5
86% 12/14
79% 11/14
82%
–
Ponad 1,5
64% 9/14
57% 8/14
61%
–
Ponad 2,5
21% 3/14
29% 4/14
25%
–
BTTS
36% 5/14
21% 3/14
29%
–
% of each club's games · League = IV Liga Kujawsko-Pomorska (126 games, 3,99 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
2,17 at home
2,17 away
Mustang Ostaszewo scored 13 in 6 home games
Tłuchowia Tłuchowo scored 13 in 6 away games
Mustang Ostaszewo
MUS
Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
TŁU
Scored over 0,5
86% 12/14
100% 14/14
Scored over 1,5
57% 8/14
71% 10/14
Scored over 2,5
43% 6/14
57% 8/14
Bez punktów
14% 2/14
0% 0/14
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1,50 at home
1,33 away
Mustang Ostaszewo conceded 9 in 6 home games
Tłuchowia Tłuchowo conceded 8 in 6 away games
Mustang Ostaszewo
MUS
Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
TŁU
Conceded over 0,5
79% 11/14
71% 10/14
Conceded over 1,5
50% 7/14
29% 4/14
Conceded over 2,5
29% 4/14
7% 1/14
Czyste konto
21% 3/14
29% 4/14
Streaks
2
Porażki in a row
5
Stracone in a row
2
Longest win run this season
9
Unbeaten last loss 10 games ago
14
Strzelił all 14 this season
2
Stracone in a row
2
Obie drużyny zdobyły punkty in a row
7
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Mustang Ostaszewo
MUS
Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
TŁU
League
Kartki
Kartki
3,00
2,36
–
Opponent cards
3,29
2,50
–
Match total
6,29
4,86
4,63
Ponad 3,5
93% 13/14
79% 11/14
–
Ponad 4,5
79% 11/14
50% 7/14
–
Not shown: Rzuty rożne, Strzały, Shots on target, Faule, Spalone, Possession - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = IV Liga Kujawsko-Pomorska (126 games) · IV Liga Kujawsko-Pomorska · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Mustang Ostaszewo
Strzelił · 28
0%
14%
25%
11%
32%
18%
Stracone · 23
26%
18%
17%
13%
9%
17%
Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
Strzelił · 39
8%
20%
13%
8%
20%
31%
Stracone · 17
12%
23%
18%
12%
12%
23%
36%
Scored first
62%
18%
Goals after 75'
31%
Scored first: Mustang Ostaszewo 5 of 14, Tłuchowia Tłuchowo 8 of 13 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · IV Liga Kujawsko-Pomorska · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
29%36%36%
Leading 4
Level 5
Trailing 5
1,21
points per game
At half-time
100%
4 z 4
Led at HT, won
40%
2 z 5
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 112nd 17
At half-time
43%29%29%
Leading 6
Level 4
Trailing 4
1,57
points per game
At half-time
100%
6 z 6
Led at HT, won
50%
2 z 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 162nd 26
9
Points won from losing positions in 10 · 6 games
10
5
Points dropped from winning positions in 8 · 11 games
5
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · IV Liga Kujawsko-Pomorska · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Standings
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